Well Then...

Of course, as soon as I'm done crunching the numbers and about to advise the world that it's impossible to predict how much you will lose since the numbers are so erratic SS posts her revelation first! At least if I wasted time with my chart and graphs and analysis it was at work. :)

Still I will tell you the things I have "discovered" whether redudant or not.

• The numbers are way to erratic.  The loses clearly show that they will vary everyday but they don't follow a clear-cut trend.  Without knowing the trend it will be impossible to predict the rate of future loss or to apply an accurate curve to future results.
•  My only way to judge my proposed future progress, which I know is flawed, is to take the average lost each day and apply that to the previous days weight.  Doing so shows that I will lose on average  1.2 pounds per day (currently averaging 8.4 pounds per week) and meet my expected goal of 165 on 10/19, a week and a half early. It also shows I will end on 10/30 at 152 pounds.  I don't expect this will be the case by any means.
• If I tried to apply the difference between the first and second week and average that across the next 4 weeks I would only lose about 5 pounds more than I've already lost so that won't work either.

So I'm going to stick with my original goal of 165 and continue to track my numbers in detail.  Maybe after I am done they'll all make sense.