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Monday, September 28, 2009

Day 13: Uh oh

I screwed up.  We ate too much meat for dinner, and it's all my fault.  I got sloppy, and I miscalculated when I was figuring out portions, so instead of having 70 grams of cooked beef, we had 93 grams each.  Sounds like next to nothing, but on a day when we both realize that the only obligation we each have is to eat within Protocol, it could be significant.  Oh, yeah...and tomorrow's weigh-in day.  Keep your fingers crossed that I don't get my ass kicked in the morning!

Well Then...

Of course, as soon as I'm done crunching the numbers and about to advise the world that it's impossible to predict how much you will lose since the numbers are so erratic SS posts her revelation first! At least if I wasted time with my chart and graphs and analysis it was at work. :)

Still I will tell you the things I have "discovered" whether redudant or not.

  • The numbers are way to erratic.  The loses clearly show that they will vary everyday but they don't follow a clear-cut trend.  Without knowing the trend it will be impossible to predict the rate of future loss or to apply an accurate curve to future results.
  •  My only way to judge my proposed future progress, which I know is flawed, is to take the average lost each day and apply that to the previous days weight.  Doing so shows that I will lose on average  1.2 pounds per day (currently averaging 8.4 pounds per week) and meet my expected goal of 165 on 10/19, a week and a half early. It also shows I will end on 10/30 at 152 pounds.  I don't expect this will be the case by any means.
  • If I tried to apply the difference between the first and second week and average that across the next 4 weeks I would only lose about 5 pounds more than I've already lost so that won't work either.
So I'm going to stick with my original goal of 165 and continue to track my numbers in detail.  Maybe after I am done they'll all make sense.

Day 13: Revelation

I'm down 1.5 pounds today, so I feel better about yesterday's gain.  That puts me down a total of 11.3 pounds from my Day 1 weight, but I'm still a little bit bummed because, unless I lose 3.9 pounds overnight, I'm not going to meet my 1 pound per day goal for the week.  It looks like a 0.5 pounds per day is a more reasonable goal.  As for the other goals, I have been having all of my water this week, and with the exception of the weekend, we had family dinners throughout the week, so 2 out of 3 goals are successes.

My major revelation of the day is probably a fairly obvious one, but it hit me like a ton of bricks this morning.  On the HCG Diet, I have no control over my weight loss.  Of course I have to eat within Protocol to see a loss, but it's not like another diet where I can eat less or workout harder to burn more calories.  I'm eating essentially the same thing every day and likely burning the same number of calories each day, but the fat loss is different every day; all I can do is weigh myself and see the result.  It's an absolutely bizarre feeling to have so little control over what's happening inside my body, but it's also somewhat liberating.  As long as I do my part by eating what I'm supposed to, the weight will come off.  I can't predict HOW or WHEN it will come off, but all of the 0.5s and 1.4s and 0.2s will eventually add up to larger numbers, and I just need to let it happen. I may have been disappointed that I gained 0.6 pounds yesterday, but when I look at the big picture, I've lost almost 15 pounds in 10 days (from my peak post-load weight).  The last time I did that, I got a baby in return!



No Loss

189.4

No loss today. I think I followed everything; ate both meals, had my apples, drank the water. I'm not going to stress about it though. Seems like my body tends to take a day to rest from time to time.

I haven't gone through my numbers and charted them out yet but I'm going to set a goal of 5 pounds this week. On Sunday morning I would like to be down to 184.4. Ultimately, if I lose 5 pounds for the next 4 weeks I'll be with in 4 pounds of what I expect to end at and It would be very close to my weight in high school.